An-Najah University Journal for Research - B (Humanities)

Assessing the Predictive Ability of PGSCE, Major Requirements, Other Variables and Their Reactions on GPA at Educational Science Faculty at An-Najah University

Article info

2013-02-11
2013-07-14
2013-07-14
243 - 264

Keywords

Abstract

The objective of this study was to evaluate the predictive ability of students' average scores in the Palestinian General Secondary Certificate Exam (PGSCE), the high school major requirements, and several dummy variables and their impact on students' GPA at educational science faculty (ESF) at An-Najah National University. The study assessed the accuracy of predictive statistical significance and practical impact as well as indicators' predictive capacity, such as squared multiple correlation coefficients (R2), adjusted (R2), mean square error (MSE), Mallows CP, and AIC index. The research sample included 1065 applicants to the Faculty of Education who graduated between the years of 2009-2011. The study found an inability of PGSCE to predict students' GPA in any disciplines. Results showed an inability of Major Requirements to predict only GPA in three disciplines and branch study had predicted GPA in one discipline and also reached the importance of interaction between variables in predicting student GPA.  The study recommendations were not to use PGSCE and major requirements for admission to ESF.

Recommended Citation

Ayyoub, A. (2013). Assessing the Predictive Ability of PGSCE, Major Requirements, Other Variables and Their Reactions on GPA at Educational Science Faculty at An-Najah University. An-Najah University Journal for Research - B (Humanities), 28(2), 243–264. https://doi.org/10.35552/0247-028-002-002
[1]A. Ayyoub, “Assessing the Predictive Ability of PGSCE, Major Requirements, Other Variables and Their Reactions on GPA at Educational Science Faculty at An-Najah University,” An-Najah University Journal for Research - B (Humanities), vol. 28, no. 2, pp. 243–264, Jul. 2013, doi: 10.35552/0247-028-002-002.
Ayyoub, Abedulkarim. “Assessing the Predictive Ability of PGSCE, Major Requirements, Other Variables and Their Reactions on GPA at Educational Science Faculty at An-Najah University.” An-Najah University Journal for Research - B (Humanities), vol. 28, no. 2, July 2013, pp. 243–64. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.35552/0247-028-002-002.
1.Ayyoub A. Assessing the Predictive Ability of PGSCE, Major Requirements, Other Variables and Their Reactions on GPA at Educational Science Faculty at An-Najah University. An-Najah University Journal for Research - B (Humanities) [Internet]. 2013 Jul;28(2):243–64. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.35552/0247-028-002-002
Ayyoub, Abedulkarim. “Assessing the Predictive Ability of PGSCE, Major Requirements, Other Variables and Their Reactions on GPA at Educational Science Faculty at An-Najah University.” An-Najah University Journal for Research - B (Humanities) 28, no. 2 (July 2013): 243–64. https://doi.org/10.35552/0247-028-002-002.

تقييم القدرة التنبؤية لاختبار الثانوية العامة ومتطلبات التخصص ومتغيرات أخرى وتفاعلاتها بالمعدل التراكمي في كلية التربية بجامعة النجاح الوطنية
المؤلفون:

معلومات المقال

2013-02-11
2013-07-14
2013-07-14
243 - 264

الكلمات الإفتتاحية

الملخص

هدفت الدراسة إلى تقييم القدرة التنبؤية لمعدل الثانوية العامة الفلسطيني، ومتطلبات التخصص، وبعض المتغيرات التصنيفية، وتفاعلها بالمعدل التراكمي، وقد استخدمت الدراسة لتقييم الدقة التنبؤية الدلالة الاحصائية والعملية ودراسة الأثر، وكذلك مؤشرات القدرة التنبؤية ومنها مربع معامل الارتباط المتعدد ومربع معامل الارتباط المتعدد المصحح (R2adj) ومؤشر متوسط مربعات الخطأ (MSE) ومؤشر ملاوCp ومؤشر اكياك (AIC)، وتكونت عينة الدراسة من 1065 طلبا من كلية التربية تخرجوا خلال الأعوام الدراسية 2009 -2011، وتوصلت الدراسة إلى عدم قدرة معدل الثانوية العامة على التنبؤ بالمعدل التراكمي في أي تخصص، وكذلك عدم قدرة متطلبات التخصص على التنبؤ بالمعدل التراكمي سوى بثلاثة تخصصات، وفرع الدراسة قد تنبأ بالمعدل التراكمي بتخصص واحد فقط، وتوصلت أيضا إلى أهمية التفاعل بين المتغيرات في التنبؤ بالمعدل التراكمي، وأوصت الدراسة بعدم اعتماد معدل الثانوية العامة ومتطلبات التخصص للقبول في كلية التربية وضرورة البحث عن متنبئات أخرى للقيام بذلك.

Recommended Citation

Ayyoub, A. (2013). Assessing the Predictive Ability of PGSCE, Major Requirements, Other Variables and Their Reactions on GPA at Educational Science Faculty at An-Najah University. An-Najah University Journal for Research - B (Humanities), 28(2), 243–264. https://doi.org/10.35552/0247-028-002-002
[1]A. Ayyoub, “Assessing the Predictive Ability of PGSCE, Major Requirements, Other Variables and Their Reactions on GPA at Educational Science Faculty at An-Najah University,” An-Najah University Journal for Research - B (Humanities), vol. 28, no. 2, pp. 243–264, Jul. 2013, doi: 10.35552/0247-028-002-002.
Ayyoub, Abedulkarim. “Assessing the Predictive Ability of PGSCE, Major Requirements, Other Variables and Their Reactions on GPA at Educational Science Faculty at An-Najah University.” An-Najah University Journal for Research - B (Humanities), vol. 28, no. 2, July 2013, pp. 243–64. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.35552/0247-028-002-002.
1.Ayyoub A. Assessing the Predictive Ability of PGSCE, Major Requirements, Other Variables and Their Reactions on GPA at Educational Science Faculty at An-Najah University. An-Najah University Journal for Research - B (Humanities) [Internet]. 2013 Jul;28(2):243–64. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.35552/0247-028-002-002
Ayyoub, Abedulkarim. “Assessing the Predictive Ability of PGSCE, Major Requirements, Other Variables and Their Reactions on GPA at Educational Science Faculty at An-Najah University.” An-Najah University Journal for Research - B (Humanities) 28, no. 2 (July 2013): 243–64. https://doi.org/10.35552/0247-028-002-002.

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